VROL NMKA cracking milestones

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jaro2404
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Message 3981 - Posted: 20 Jun 2016, 8:47:52 UTC
Last modified: 20 Jun 2016, 8:48:08 UTC

Date: 12 December 2015
Workunits done: 113 880 000/227 760 000 (50%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,1449%

Projected 100% completion: Start of November 2017. (690 days)
Next milestone: 60% (projected: April 2016)

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NO DATA FOR 52,5%, 55%, 57,5%, 60%

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Date: 25 May 2016
Workunits done: 142 350 000/227 760 000 (62,5%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,2024%

Projected 100% completion: Start of October 2017 (494 days)
Next milestone: 65% (projected: End of June 2016)
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jaro2404
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Message 3989 - Posted: 3 Jul 2016, 11:36:08 UTC

Date: 2 July 2016
Workunits done: 148 044 000/227 760 000 (65%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,1894%

Projected 100% completion: Mid-December 2017 (528 days)
Next milestone: 67,5% (projected: Mid-August 2016)
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Redstone

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Message 3996 - Posted: 11 Jul 2016, 19:29:02 UTC

Less than 1.5 years left. This last message is proving to be quite a tough cookie to crack.
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jaro2404
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Message 4041 - Posted: 12 Aug 2016, 15:53:58 UTC

Date: 12 August 2016
Workunits done: 153 738 000/227 760 000 (67,5%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,1858%

Projected 100% completion: Start of February 2018 (538 days)
Next milestone: 70% (projected: Mid-September 2016)
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jaro2404
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Message 4119 - Posted: 30 Sep 2016, 19:02:52 UTC

Date: 30 September 2016
Workunits done: 159 432 000/227 760 000 (70%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,2518%

Projected 100% completion: Start of November 2017 (397 days)
Next milestone: 72,5% (projected: Start of November 2016)
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jaro2404
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Message 4153 - Posted: 3 Nov 2016, 23:24:01 UTC
Last modified: 3 Nov 2016, 23:24:19 UTC

Date: 4 November 2016
Workunits done: 165 126 000/227 760 000 (72,5%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,2777%

Projected 100% completion: End of October 2017 (360 days)
Next milestone: 75% (projected: Start of December 2017)
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noderaser
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Message 4154 - Posted: 4 Nov 2016, 2:46:50 UTC

I assume your prediction for 75% is for December 2016? It would be kind of weird to hit 75% after completion.
Click Here to see My Detailed BOINC Stats
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jaro2404
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Message 4155 - Posted: 4 Nov 2016, 16:08:36 UTC - in response to Message 4154.  

Yes, your're right :)
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jaro2404
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Message 4192 - Posted: 4 Dec 2016, 10:37:03 UTC

Date: 3 December 2016
Workunits done: 170 820 000/227 760 000 (75%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,3030%

Projected 100% completion: End of September 2017 (330 days)
Next milestone: 77,5% (projected: Start of January 2017)
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Bernard

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Message 4223 - Posted: 2 Jan 2017, 11:57:05 UTC

Date: 2 January 2017
Workunits done: 176 711 775/227 760 000 (77,59%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,39962%

Projected 100% completion: Begin of September 2017 (250 days)
Next milestone: 80,0% (projected: Start of February 2017)
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Bernard

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Message 4252 - Posted: 30 Jan 2017, 15:45:24 UTC

Date: 30 January 2017
Workunits done: 182 330 024/227 760 000 (80,05%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,41206%

Projected 100% completion: End of September 2017 (243 days)
Next milestone: 82,5% (projected: Start of March 2017)
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Bernard

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Message 4283 - Posted: 27 Feb 2017, 23:08:16 UTC

Date: 28 February 2017
Workunits done: 187 363 312/227 760 000 (82,26%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,45746%

Projected 100% completion: End of September 2017 (218 days)
Next milestone: 85,0% (projected: Start of April 2017)
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Message 4284 - Posted: 28 Feb 2017, 2:11:46 UTC - in response to Message 4283.  
Last modified: 28 Feb 2017, 2:13:31 UTC

Date: 28 February 2017
Workunits done: 187 363 312/227 760 000 (82,26%)
The odds of cracking the message in the next 24 hours (based on current workrate): 0,45746%

Projected 100% completion: End of September 2017 (218 days)
Next milestone: 85,0% (projected: Start of April 2017)


Hey, you cheated, 218 days is October 4 :(

I still think you will get more attention from other BOINC users if you updated the front page to say we are on the fifth message and the third was cracked in 2013, rather than the strategy you have of teasing people into getting the full story on the forums.

Regardless someone gave me a dying Vista era computer a month ago which I put Xubuntu LTS on and will be working on only Enigma until the end :)
-Dan Q

danq.co

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jaro2404
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Message 4288 - Posted: 3 Mar 2017, 20:19:49 UTC - in response to Message 4284.  

Don't know why Bernard took over my idea that I figured out and don't know how he's collecting the data, so I can't tell you more about it Danq. :D

Yeah, you're right, the main page should be updated but there is one problem - propably only TJM has the rights to change this page.

Because of that, the thing you called "teasing" (something more about it? :D) is actually the only way to get to familiarize with E@H.

Good luck on the project, we're closing this message in few months and if TJM is not going to do something else, it's completed.
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Miguel Ángel

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Message 4289 - Posted: 4 Mar 2017, 16:12:58 UTC

Agreed, this should be in the front page with whatever we are crunching because it's pretty difficult to keep motivated if you don't see the results.
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Profile danq
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Message 4290 - Posted: 4 Mar 2017, 20:45:16 UTC - in response to Message 4288.  

Don't know why Bernard took over my idea that I figured out and don't know how he's collecting the data, so I can't tell you more about it Danq. :D


I thought you had changed your username to Bernard and were the same person.

Yeah, you're right, the main page should be updated but there is one problem - propably only TJM has the rights to change this page.

Because of that, the thing you called "teasing" (something more about it? :D) is actually the only way to get to familiarize with E@H.


Because you did this "milestones" thread, I thought you were another administrator with access to a script of some kind. You also said this here, which might have confused me and I thought you were deliberately "teasing" potential users:

http://www.enigmaathome.net/forum_thread.php?id=341&postid=4062#4062

Good luck on the project, we're closing this message in few months and if TJM is not going to do something else, it's completed.


Are you saying you are ending the project early? :(

Also, how does TJM (or you) know when there's a "match"?
-Dan Q

danq.co

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jaro2404
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Message 4291 - Posted: 5 Mar 2017, 14:34:04 UTC - in response to Message 4290.  

No no, I'm just collecting data from the "server status" page and I'm creating regression model from them, so that's how I know when we will hit certain percentage.

I don't know what you treat as a "match", if you mean how we know that certain result is a solution, here is the automatic thread which shows the higly scored results (the scores are propably calculated from calculating how many abbreviations placed in the dictionary are in it, but I can't really confirm that)

http://www.enigmaathome.net/forum_thread.php?id=348 - here is it

All I wanted to say was that the regression shows that we will finish computing all of the possible combinations this October. We can finish it earlier, because the solution can be in the every next computed result. After that, we wait for the TJM if he will show up. And that's all.
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Message 4292 - Posted: 5 Mar 2017, 14:40:46 UTC - in response to Message 4290.  

No no, I'm just collecting data from the "server status" page and I'm creating regression model from them, so that's how I know when we will hit certain percentage.

I don't know what you treat as a "match", if you mean how we know that certain result is a solution, here is the automatic thread which shows the higly scored results (the scores are propably calculated from calculating how many abbreviations placed in the dictionary are in it, but I can't really confirm that)

http://www.enigmaathome.net/forum_thread.php?id=348 - here is it

All I wanted to say was that the regression shows that we will finish computing all of the possible combinations this October. We can finish it earlier, because the solution can be in the every next computed result. After that, we wait for the TJM if he will show up. And that's all.
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Message boards : Number crunching : VROL NMKA cracking milestones




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